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大温地产月分析图 2006 - 2010

大温哥华地产市场12月2010分析

大温哥华地区的民居房产市场在2010年走过了三个独特的阶段。从年初开始,随着经济的逐步恢复,房市也持续抬升,接着在夏季进入了停滞阶段。然后,秋季开始,房市进入了一个稳定增长期。

温哥华地产局的记录显示,2010年售出的各类房屋达到30595个,比2009年的35669个下降了14.2%,但是比2008年的24626个增长了24.2%MLS数据库录得的去年的房屋销售量比十年平均值低了10.3%

2010年挂牌销售的房屋数量达到58009个,比2009年的52869个增加了9.7%,但是与2008年的62561个相比,降低了7.3%。而且,房屋的挂牌集中的去年4月,然后逐月下降。

“过去两年的房地产市场有点像过山车。然而,过去六个月的销售明显地显示出逐步稳定的趋势。我们认为这对房屋的买方和卖方都是好消息。” REBVG的总裁Jake Moldowan如是说。“大温哥华地区的房屋市场在2010年经历了一个房价稳步增长,但是挂牌销售量却逐步减少的阶段。”

去年12月的大温哥华地区的房屋销售量为1899个,与0912月份的2515个相比,降低了24.5%,即便与去年11月的2509个相比,也下降了24.3%

更广泛地说,去年12月的1899个房屋销售量比200812月份的924个相比,增加了105.5%,于0712月份的1897个相比,增加了0.1%,于0612月份的1686个相比,降低了2.6%

大温地区按照MLSLink房屋价格指数而定的房屋参考价,从0912月到1012月,增加了2.7%,达到去年12月的577808元。然而,这个价格比去年四月份高峰期的593419元相比,还是下降了2.6%

“尽管在过去一年里,我们看到房屋在价格上所受到的压力,同过去两三年我们看到的价格波动相比,去年房屋价格还是相对地保持了稳定。”Moldowan这么说道。

去年12月份大温哥华地区新增加的挂牌房屋为1699个,与0912月份新挂牌的2153个房屋相比,减少了21.1%,与去年11月份新挂牌的3030个相比,减少了43.9%

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The Months of Inventory -MOI- is basically a ratio of the Inventory of homes for sale by the number of homes that have sold over a period of time. The higher the months of inventory, the slower the market and visa versa. Generally, 4-6 months of inventory signals a balanced market, less than that would undoubtedly be a very strong Seller’s market, & more than that would be a Buyer’s market. In the most basic sense, a strong market will have an MOI of under 5 .

Source: REBGV, SpreadSheets

Definitions of: Housing Price Index (HPI), Mean Average Price, Median Price

Mean: is an average that is arrived at by taking a range of home prices and dividing them by the number of units sold. If 12 homes sell in a price range from $220,000 to $690,000, the mean average price is determined by adding all of the sales prices and then dividing by 12.

Median: is the middle value. If 12 homes sell in a price range from $220,000 to $690,000, the median price is determined by arranging the sales prices from the lowest to highest. The media is the number in the middle.

For many decades, the mean and median average were standard industry measures for recording sales activity.
But these measures were not always accurate. In a neighborhood where 11 homes sell in the range of $650,000 to $850,000, and one home sells for $1.3 million, the average or mean will be significantly skewed.

The Housing Price Index (HPI): For accuracy, the Greater Vancouver and Fraser Valley Real Estate Boards developed the HPI, a tool to measure market activity.

The HPI is a measure of price change, for a set time period, for residential properties. It provides the most reliable information on housing price trends.

It’s modeled on the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the rate of price change for a basket of goods and services including food, clothing, shelter, and transportation.

But instead of measuring goods and services, the HPI measures the change in the price of housing features such as lot size, number of rooms, age of the home and neighborhood.

The HPI tracks movement of mid-range priced homes and excludes extremely high and low priced properties.

大温哥华地产市场11月2010分析

大温地产局12月2日公布11月地产市场报告显示,大温地区11月地产市场持续稳定,供应减少,销量比上月增加7.4%,比去年同月销量下降 18.6%,比十年同月平均销量略高。 大温11月份各类住宅房屋的标准价格(benchmark price)在过去一年里上涨4.1%至$580,080,但各地域也不平衡,基中Port Moody独立屋基准价格比去年同期下降10.6%。

11月成交量共2509套,包括1050套独立屋、1052套公寓及407套城市屋。11月总挂牌量为12,384套。 平均基准价格为$580,080, 其中独立屋基准价格为$799,312,公寓基准价格为$389,168,城市屋基准价格为$488,733。

大温哥华地产市场10月2010分析

大温地产局11月2日公布10月地产市场报告显示,大温地区10月地产市道持续稳定,过去4个月以来房价基本维持不变。业界专家指出,目前的地产市场依然属于买方市场,只要出价合理的物业,仍然不难找到买家。

报告显示,大温10月份各类住宅房屋的标准价格(benchmark price)在过去一年里上涨4.6%至$579,349,而去年9月则为$553,702。不过,从今年6月至10月,楼价总体微跌0.2%。

在房屋类别方面来看,今年10月较之去年同期,独立屋标准价上涨了6.3%至796,883元,城市屋标准价上涨了4%至487,530元,公寓的标准价则上涨2.4%,至390,074元。

销量方面,10月份独立屋、城市屋和公寓总计售出了2337个单位,相比9月的2220个单位,增幅5.3%;10月的销量如果与2009年10月的3,704间相比,则减少了36.9%。

在挂牌房屋数量方面,10月共有3168个新挂牌房屋,比9月的4731大幅减少,据统计,大温地区在10月共有14,075个有效待售房屋,比9月减少约8.6%,但是这一数据相比去年10月则增加了16.4%。

大温地产局总裁莫道文(Jake Moldowan)表示,最近几个月来地产市场趋稳,销量和房价的变动幅度均不大。眼下2010年仅剩两个月,市场上供求关系比较平衡。一方面不少买家愿 意趁按揭利率仍处于接近历史低点之时购入物业,此外挂牌待售单位也逐渐减少,相信楼价未来下跌的空间愈来愈小。

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